Today's start
Sunday, September 6Bobby Witt Jr.
72.7%to get a hit · Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays · facing Spencer Arrighetti · .275 AVG · his 4.82 ERA · bats 2nd
Chance of a hit — the pick against the required bar and the field
This pick is scored only from what's posted — a stronger hitter could still appear. Check back closer to first pitch.
- Athletics @ Seattle Mariners — Seattle Mariners pending
- Minnesota Twins @ Chicago White Sox — Minnesota Twins pending
- Washington Nationals @ Los Angeles Dodgers — both pending
Why
- Top pick: Bobby Witt Jr. at 72.7% calibrated confidence.
- Squaring the ball up lately — a .365 expected average across his recent windows.
- The pitcher has been hittable — a .337 expected average allowed over the last month.
- Hard contact is up — 48% of his batted balls hit hard over 30 days.
What could go wrong
- Bobby Witt Jr.: day game after a night game — possible fatigue.
Streak Saver
Streak Saver (games 10–15) isn't available yet at 0.
This recommendation is the model's calibrated output, not a suggestion to second-guess for a favorite player or to chase back a prior loss. Overriding it should be a deliberate, confirmed action.
Move the streak, watch the bar
A longer streak is worth protecting, so the confidence a pick must clear climbs from 65% once you pass 10, up to 80%.
This site shows the same recommendation for everyone — it isn't tracking a streak of yours. Drag the dial to see how the call would shift if you were carrying a longer one.
The board
The recommendation is the top of 227 confirmed starting hitters the model scored today. The rest are here to be checked, not shopped — one deliberate step away.