Projected lineups. No lineup is posted yet, so this pick is built from each team’s most recent batting order against today’s probable starters. It can still change — check back once lineups are official (usually 1–3 hours before first pitch).
Today's start
Friday, September 4Jake McCarthy
75.3%to get a hit · Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals · facing Andre Pallante · .296 AVG · his 3.57 ERA · bats 1st
Chance of a hit — the pick against the required bar and the field
Across 16 games today, none has an official lineup yet. This pick uses each team’s most recent batting order and will be re-scored once real lineups post.
Why
- Top pick: Jake McCarthy at 75.3% calibrated confidence.
- Squaring the ball up lately — a .330 expected average across his recent windows.
- The pitcher has been hittable — a .375 expected average allowed over the last month.
- Bats 1st — near the top of the order, so more trips to the plate.
Risk check
Clean — no bullpen game, rain, fatigue, deep-lineup-slot, or inflated-BABIP flag on this pick.
Streak Saver
Streak Saver (games 10–15) isn't available yet at 0.
This recommendation is the model's calibrated output, not a suggestion to second-guess for a favorite player or to chase back a prior loss. Overriding it should be a deliberate, confirmed action.
Move the streak, watch the bar
A longer streak is worth protecting, so the confidence a pick must clear climbs from 65% once you pass 10, up to 80%.
This site shows the same recommendation for everyone — it isn't tracking a streak of yours. Drag the dial to see how the call would shift if you were carrying a longer one.
The board
The recommendation is the top of 226 projected starting hitters the model scored today. The rest are here to be checked, not shopped — one deliberate step away.