Today's slate
Every lineup postedMilwaukee Brewers @ Tampa Bay Rays
Today's start
Monday, October 26JC70.4%
Jackson Chourio
to get a hit · Milwaukee Brewers vs Tampa Bay Rays · facing Freddy Peralta
.285 AVG · his 4.12 ERA · bats 1st
Chance of a hit
Requiredneeds 65.0%
Why
- Top pick: Jackson Chourio at 70.4% calibrated confidence.
- Squaring the ball up lately — a .411 expected average across his recent windows.
- The pitcher has been hittable — a .281 expected average allowed over the last month.
- Hard contact is up — 51% of his batted balls hit hard over 30 days.
Risk check
✓Clean — no bullpen game, rain, fatigue, deep-lineup-slot, or inflated-BABIP flag on this pick.
Streak Saver
Streak Saver (games 10–15) isn't available yet at 0.
This recommendation is the model's calibrated output, not a suggestion to second-guess for a favorite player or to chase back a prior loss. Overriding it should be a deliberate, confirmed action.
Move the streak
The bar climbs from 65% once you pass 10, up to 80%.
This site shows the same recommendation for everyone — it isn't tracking a streak of yours. Drag the dial to see how the call would shift if you were carrying a longer one.
needs 65.0%Pick Jackson Chourio
The board
18 hitters1JCJackson Chourio Milwaukee Brewers · 1st70.4%
2YDYandy Díaz Tampa Bay Rays · 1st67.0%
3WCWilliam Contreras Milwaukee Brewers · 4th66.5%
4CYChristian Yelich Milwaukee Brewers · 3rd65.1%
5BTBrice Turang Milwaukee Brewers · 5th64.5%
6CSChandler Simpson Tampa Bay Rays · 3rd63.1%
7JCJunior Caminero Tampa Bay Rays · 4th61.4%
8GMGarrett Mitchell Milwaukee Brewers · 6th60.4%
9CPCooper Pratt Milwaukee Brewers · 7th59.9%
10JBJake Bauers Milwaukee Brewers · 2nd59.7%
11SFSal Frelick Milwaukee Brewers · 8th57.8%
12JDJonny DeLuca Tampa Bay Rays · 6th57.6%
13BWBen Williamson Tampa Bay Rays · 5th55.5%
14RVRyan Vilade Tampa Bay Rays · 2nd54.7%
15DHDavid Hamilton Milwaukee Brewers · 9th53.2%
16VMVictor Mesa Jr. Tampa Bay Rays · 7th52.4%
17NFNick Fortes Tampa Bay Rays · 8th49.0%
18TWTaylor Walls Tampa Bay Rays · 9th46.4%