In 2026, the picks ran to a longest streak of 7.
Across 101 scored days it picked 98 and skipped 3, hitting on 70.4% of picks, with confidence calibrated to a Brier score of 0.2378 (lower is better; 0.25 is a coin flip).
Season
Streak length, day by day — 2026
Climbs +1 per hit, drops to zero on a miss (a Double Down miss included), holds flat on a skip.
Confidence vs. reality
Each dot is a confidence bucket, sized by how many predictions it holds. On the dashed line, the percentage told the truth. Buckets with fewer than 30 predictions are left off as too thin to read.
Every season
| Season | Brier | Longest | Mean | Hit rate | Picked |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0.2365 | 11 | 3.1 | 75.9% | 58 |
| 2024 | 0.2380 | 14 | 3.1 | 69.4% | 157 |
| 2025 | 0.2369 | 17 | 3.4 | 70.5% | 156 |
| 2026 | 0.2378 | 7 | 3.1 | 70.4% | 98 |
Last 30 scored days — 2026
hit miss skipped